First League badgeFirst League · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Cherno More Varna badgeCherno More VarnavsSpartak Varna badgeSpartak Varna

0 - 3
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
47.9%
Edge
+13.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +13.3%
Our model61.2%
The market47.9%

The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cherno More Varna badge

Cherno More Varna

Attack73
Defence93
Form64
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Spartak Varna

Attack89
Defence45
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.3%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market47.9%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.0%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market44.8%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Spartak Varna (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Spartak Varna Win

Edge +24.6%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market19.0%
Edge
+24.6
Odds
5.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

10.9%

2-1

7.7%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.