National League - North badgeNational League - North · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Chester badgeChestervsMerthyr Town badgeMerthyr Town

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Chester Win
Model confidence
58.3%
Markets called
1 of 5 right
Final score
0 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Chester Win

Match Winner · best price 1.57

MediumEdge -5.4%
Our model58.3%
The market63.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chester badge

Chester

Attack42
Defence100
Form67
Merthyr Town badge

Merthyr Town

Attack64
Defence54
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model84.8%
The market86.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Chester (DNB)

Miss
Our model68.8%
The market74.6%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.34

Match Winner

Chester Win

Miss
Our model58.3%
The market63.7%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market61.3%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.63

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market62.9%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.59

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

11.9%

0-2

7.3%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.