National League - North badgeNational League - North · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Chester badgeChestervsMorecambe badgeMorecambe

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
45.2%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.21

LowEdge +8.8%
Our model54.0%
The market45.2%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chester badge

Chester

Attack48
Defence100
Form76
Morecambe badge

Morecambe

Attack33
Defence66
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model80.4%
The market87.7%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Chester (DNB)

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model72.6%
The market71.9%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.39

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market45.2%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
2.21

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market45.7%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
2.19

Match Winner

Chester Win

Miss
Our model51.6%
The market59.9%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.4%
The market14.3%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
7.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.4%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

11.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.