Chesterfieldvs
Crewe
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.6%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +10.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectChesterfield Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 10.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Chesterfield
Crewe
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Chesterfield Win
- Edge
- +10.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Chesterfield (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.