Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Chicago Fire badgeChicago FirevsCharlotte badgeCharlotte

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.9%
Market said
67.5%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +5.4%
Our model72.9%
The market67.5%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chicago Fire badge

Chicago Fire

Attack60
Defence53
Form56
Charlotte badge

Charlotte

Attack53
Defence54
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market84.7%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model72.9%
The market67.5%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.5%Correct
Our model72.8%
The market63.3%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Chicago Fire (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Chicago Fire Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market64.5%
Edge
-20.9
Odds
1.55

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.5%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.5% · actual

1-1

9.1%

2-2

7.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.