Major League Soccer · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Chicago Firevs
New York Red Bulls
1 - 3Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.1%
- Market said
- 67.6%
- Edge
- +1.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.48
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.48
The market underrated this by 1.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 1.48
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Chicago Fire Win
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Chicago Fire (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.15
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.