Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Chicago Fire badgeChicago FirevsToronto FC badgeToronto FC

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.7%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +4.0%
Our model70.7%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chicago Fire badge

Chicago Fire

Attack57
Defence68
Form58
Toronto FC badge

Toronto FC

Attack49
Defence39
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model70.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Chicago Fire Win

Correct
Our model60.0%
The market67.6%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

Chicago Fire (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7% · actual

1-1

7.1%

2-2

7.0%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.