Primera A badgePrimera A · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Chico badgeChicovsOnce Caldas badgeOnce Caldas

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
45.2%
Edge
+9.4 pts
Best odds
2.12

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.12

LowEdge +9.4%
Our model54.6%
The market45.2%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chico badge

Chico

Attack34
Defence34
Form31
Once Caldas badge

Once Caldas

Attack73
Defence63
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model73.5%
The market79.4%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Once Caldas (DNB)

Miss
Our model58.2%
The market63.7%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.57

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.4%Close
Our model54.6%
The market45.2%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
2.12

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market51.0%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Once Caldas Win

Miss
Our model36.8%
The market49.0%
Edge
-12.2
Odds
2.04

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model10.9%
The market12.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

10.9%

1-1

12.3%

0-1

10.7%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.