Serie D - Girone F badgeSerie D - Girone F · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Chieti badgeChietivsMaceratese badgeMaceratese

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+11.8 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88

MediumEdge +11.8%
Our model65.0%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 11.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chieti badge

Chieti

Attack37
Defence39
Form42
Maceratese badge

Maceratese

Attack43
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.8%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market53.2%
Edge
+11.8
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

Chieti Win

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model51.3%
The market58.1%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
1.72

Draw No Bet

Chieti (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.