Serie D - Girone B badgeSerie D - Girone B · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Chievo badgeChievovsCastellanzese badgeCastellanzese

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.7%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+13.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Chievo Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +13.7%
Our model63.7%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chievo badge

Chievo

Attack55
Defence50
Form58
Castellanzese badge

Castellanzese

Attack39
Defence56
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Match Winner

Chievo Win

Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model63.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Chievo (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Void
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model57.1%
The market51.0%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.96

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
-9.7
Odds
1.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.