Serie D - Girone B badgeSerie D - Girone B · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Chievo badgeChievovsMilan II badgeMilan II

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+28.3 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

High confidenceEdge +28.3%
Our model73.8%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 28.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chievo badge

Chievo

Attack61
Defence43
Form58
Milan II badge

Milan II

Attack88
Defence63
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +28.3%Correct
Our model73.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
+28.3
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.9%Correct
Our model68.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Chievo (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Chievo Win

Our model35.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

2-2

7.1%

1-1

6.4%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.