Serie D - Girone A badgeSerie D - Girone A · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Chisola badgeChisolavsLavagnese badgeLavagnese

4 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+15.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +15.1%
Our model67.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 15.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Chisola badge

Chisola

Attack47
Defence43
Form33
Lavagnese badge

Lavagnese

Attack33
Defence36
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.1%Miss
Our model67.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Chisola (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Chisola Win

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model50.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model44.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.