FA Cup badgeFA Cup · 21 July 2026AI PICK

Chongqing Tongliang Long badgeChongqing Tongliang LongvsQingdao Youth Island badgeQingdao Youth Island

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
46.7%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
2.14

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.14

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model55.8%
The market46.7%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chongqing Tongliang Long badge

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Attack42
Defence66
Form51
Qingdao Youth Island badge

Qingdao Youth Island

Attack45
Defence62
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Chongqing Tongliang Long (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close
Our model55.8%
The market46.7%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.14

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model55.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.83

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market74.6%
Edge
-22.9
Odds
1.34

Match Winner

Chongqing Tongliang Long Win

Correct
Our model39.2%
The market42.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

13.5%

2-1

8.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.