Super League badgeSuper League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Chongqing Tongliang Long badgeChongqing Tongliang LongvsSHANGHAI SIPG badgeSHANGHAI SIPG

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
50.1%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +4.4%
Our model54.5%
The market50.1%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Chongqing Tongliang Long badge

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Attack33
Defence64
Form38
SHANGHAI SIPG badge

SHANGHAI SIPG

Attack47
Defence53
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

SHANGHAI SIPG (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.4%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market50.1%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market57.5%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

SHANGHAI SIPG Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.6%

1-1

13.9%

1-2

9.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.