National League - North badgeNational League - North · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Chorley badgeChorleyvsChester badgeChester

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.7%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model60.7%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model73.5%
The market69.4%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Chester (DNB)

Edge +11.9%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.6%Close
Our model60.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market54.6%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Chester Win

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market40.0%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model23.3%
The market26.7%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
3.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

23.3%

0-0

23.6%

0-2

13.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.