Chorleyvs
Chester
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +3.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +4.1
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
Chester (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
Chester Win
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 2.50
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 3.74
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
23.3%
0-0
23.6%
0-2
13.5%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.