Serie D badgeSerie D · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Cianorte badgeCianortevsSão Luiz badgeSão Luiz

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
47.9%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

LowEdge +2.4%
Our model47.9%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cianorte badge

Cianorte

Attack47
Defence43
Form40
São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack44
Defence40
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Cianorte (DNB)

Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model47.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Cianorte Win

Our model43.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.3%
The market13.3%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.3%

0-1

13.1% · actual

1-1

11.3%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.