Primera División badgePrimera División · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Cienciano badgeCiencianovsAlianza Lima badgeAlianza Lima

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.1%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+17.8 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +17.8%
Our model69.1%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 17.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cienciano badge

Cienciano

Attack66
Defence64
Form76
Alianza Lima badge

Alianza Lima

Attack59
Defence100
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.8%Miss
Our model69.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
+17.8
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model66.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Cienciano Win

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model56.3%
The market46.5%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Cienciano (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.4%

1-2

7.0%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.