CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Cienciano badgeCiencianovsBotafogo badgeBotafogo

6 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
49.2%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model53.7%
The market49.2%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cienciano badge

Cienciano

Attack61
Defence41
Form44
Botafogo badge

Botafogo

Attack65
Defence63
Form61

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model63.1%
The market75.2%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Cienciano (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market49.2%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market55.4%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Cienciano Win

Correct
Our model31.6%
The market46.5%
Edge
-14.9
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

12.7%

1-2

8.4%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.