Serie D - Girone H badgeSerie D - Girone H · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Città di Fasano badgeCittà di FasanovsMartina Franca badgeMartina Franca

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+20.9 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +20.9%
Our model67.4%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 20.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Città di Fasano badge

Città di Fasano

Attack66
Defence49
Form64
Martina Franca badge

Martina Franca

Attack84
Defence49
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.9%Miss
Our model67.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+20.9
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Città di Fasano Win

Correct
Our model49.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Città di Fasano (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.