Serie D - Girone A badgeSerie D - Girone A · 2 April 2026AI PICK

Città di Varese badgeCittà di VaresevsValenzana badgeValenzana

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 7 right, 2 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
50.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Città di Varese Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

LowEdge +0.6%
Our model50.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Double chance : Città di Varese or draw

How the two sides compared

Città di Varese badge

Città di Varese

Attack50
Defence50
Form53
Valenzana badge

Valenzana

Attack70
Defence0
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 7 right, 2 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +18.6%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Città di Varese Win

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model50.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 3.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Città di Varese (DNB)

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 7 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.