Serie C - Girone A badgeSerie C - Girone A · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Cittadella badgeCittadellavsPergolettese badgePergolettese

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +1.3%
Our model59.4%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model76.0%
The market91.7%
Edge
-15.7
Odds
1.09

Draw No Bet

Cittadella (DNB)

Correct
Our model70.6%
The market76.3%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market58.1%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.72

Match Winner

Cittadella Win

Correct
Our model57.6%
The market67.1%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.49

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model14.6%
The market16.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.6%

0-0

15.2%

1-1

14.7%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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