Coppa Italia Serie C badgeCoppa Italia Serie C · 3 September 2026AI PICK

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4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86

LowEdge +0.8%
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

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Cittadella

Attack33
Defence100
Form67
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Renate

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.6%
The market82.0%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Cittadella (DNB)

Correct
Our model62.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.86

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market59.5%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

Cittadella Win

Correct
Our model46.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

11.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.