Cittadellavs
Renate
4 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 53.8%
- Edge
- +0.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.86
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86
The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cittadella
Renate
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.4
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Cittadella (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.86
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 1.68
Match Winner
Cittadella Win
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.3%
1-1
15.0%
0-0
11.8%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.