Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Cleethorpes Town badgeCleethorpes TownvsAlfreton Town badgeAlfreton Town

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.0%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Cleethorpes Town Win

Match Winner · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +0.4%
Our model56.0%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Cleethorpes Town badge

Cleethorpes Town

Attack70
Defence100
Form53
Alfreton Town badge

Alfreton Town

Attack15
Defence32
Form17

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.5%Correct
Our model88.5%
The market80.0%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Cleethorpes Town (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model64.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Cleethorpes Town Win

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model56.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.9%Close
Our model53.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model18.2%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

18.2%

1-0

17.3%

3-0

12.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.