Division Profesional - Clausura badgeDivision Profesional - Clausura · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Club Guarani badgeClub GuaranivsDeportivo Recoleta badgeDeportivo Recoleta

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

LowEdge +0.5%
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Club Guarani badge

Club Guarani

Attack39
Defence59
Form40
Deportivo Recoleta badge

Deportivo Recoleta

Attack58
Defence31
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model79.1%
The market78.7%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.27

Draw No Bet

Club Guarani (DNB)

Correct
Our model59.9%
The market64.1%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.56

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Club Guarani Win

Correct
Our model47.4%
The market50.3%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.99

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.6%

1-1

13.9%

1-2

9.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.