Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Club Guarani badgeClub GuaranivsSportivo Ameliano badgeSportivo Ameliano

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.7%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +3.0%
Our model66.7%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Club Guarani badge

Club Guarani

Attack35
Defence66
Form40
Sportivo Ameliano badge

Sportivo Ameliano

Attack52
Defence62
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model66.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model48.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Club Guarani (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Club Guarani Win

Our model35.8%
The market44.4%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.0%
The market13.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.0%

1-0

12.0% · actual

1-1

11.1%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.