Primera División - Apertura · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Club Nacionalvs
Albion FC
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.3%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +21.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 21.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.0
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Club Nacional (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Club Nacional Win
- Edge
- -9.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.71
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
6.8%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.