Primera División - Apertura · 10 May 2026AI PICK
Club Nacionalvs
Cerro
4 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.3%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +8.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectClub Nacional Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Club Nacional
Cerro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.20
Draw No Bet
Club Nacional (DNB)
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Club Nacional Win
- Edge
- +8.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 6.46
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
17.8%
2-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.