CONMEBOL Libertadores · 27 May 2026AI PICK

Club NacionalvsCoquimbo Unido

1 - 0

Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 70.8%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +26.4 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

High confidenceEdge +26.4%

Our model70.8%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 26.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Club Nacional

Attack76

Defence35

Form44

Coquimbo Unido

Attack71

Defence55

Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market75.2%

Edge: +9.8
Odds: 1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +26.4%Miss

Our model70.8%

The market44.4%

Edge: +26.4
Odds: 2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.1%Miss

Our model67.1%

The market50.0%

Edge: +17.1
Odds: 2.00

Match Winner

Club Nacional Win

Edge +0.4%Correct

Our model56.0%

The market55.6%

Edge: +0.4
Odds: 1.80

Draw No Bet

Club Nacional (DNB)

Correct

Our model53.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -4.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%

Our model8.4%

The market7.3%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 13.68

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

7.1%

1-2

7.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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