Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 6 June 2026AI PICK

Club Nacional badgeClub NacionalvsJuventud badgeJuventud

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+8.7 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +8.7%
Our model63.3%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 8.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Club Nacional badge

Club Nacional

Attack59
Defence37
Form44
Juventud badge

Juventud

Attack65
Defence43
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.4%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Club Nacional Win

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market60.6%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Club Nacional (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.9%
The market7.7%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.9%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

8.3% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.