Primera División - Apertura · 17 July 2026AI PICK
Club Nacionalvs
Wanderers
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.7%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +3.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 1.40
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Club Nacional (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.90
Match Winner
Club Nacional Win
- Edge
- -8.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.28
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.