Club Sp. San Lorenzovs
Club Guarani
0 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 75.7%
- Market said
- 63.7%
- Edge
- +12.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.0
- Odds
- 1.57
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Draw
- Edge
- +6.1
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -3.0
- Odds
- 4.35
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
20.0%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
14.7% · actual
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.