Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Club Tijuana badgeClub TijuanavsCruz Azul badgeCruz Azul

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+4.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +4.9%
Our model57.8%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Club Tijuana badge

Club Tijuana

Attack40
Defence72
Form52
Cruz Azul badge

Cruz Azul

Attack76
Defence54
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market73.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Cruz Azul (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market52.9%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market58.7%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Cruz Azul Win

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model49.4%
The market45.5%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

9.8%

0-2

7.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.