Primera División badgePrimera División · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Cobresal badgeCobresalvsUnion La Calera badgeUnion La Calera

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
53.4%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model57.4%
The market53.4%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cobresal badge

Cobresal

Attack26
Defence39
Form20
Union La Calera badge

Union La Calera

Attack46
Defence62
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +11.1%Miss
Our model74.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
1.57

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market53.4%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Union La Calera (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market48.9%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Union La Calera Win

Edge +9.1%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market34.5%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model14.3%
The market16.4%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.3%

1-1

14.4%

0-0

13.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.