Primera División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

CobresalvsUniversidad de Chile

1 - 0

Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 59.4%
Market said: 55.6%
Edge: +3.8 pts
Best odds: 1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.8%

Our model59.4%

The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cobresal

Attack49

Defence29

Form19

Universidad de Chile

Attack53

Defence90

Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.8%Miss

Our model59.4%

The market55.6%

Edge: +3.8
Odds: 1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.6%Miss

Our model52.9%

The market51.3%

Edge: +1.6
Odds: 1.95

Draw No Bet

Cobresal (DNB)

Correct

Our model50.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -7.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Cobresal Win

Edge +14.3%Correct

Our model42.1%

The market27.8%

Edge: +14.3
Odds: 3.60

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%

Our model10.3%

The market9.0%

Edge: +1.3
Odds: 11.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-0

10.3% · actual

1-1

10.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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