Colchestervs
Southampton
0 - 2Close
Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 55.7%
- Markets called
- 1 of 5 right, 1 close
- Final score
- 0 - 2
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53
MediumEdge -9.7%
Our model55.7%
The market65.4%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Colchester
Attack62
Defence66
Form38
Southampton
Attack67
Defence100
Form100
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model72.7%
The market87.7%
- Edge
- -15.0
- Odds
- 1.14
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Close
Our model55.7%
The market65.4%
- Edge
- -9.7
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
Colchester (DNB)
Miss
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market52.4%
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Colchester Win
Edge +27.9%Miss
Our model43.3%
The market15.4%
- Edge
- +27.9
- Odds
- 6.50
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.