Copa Uruguay badgeCopa Uruguay · 1 September 2026AI PICK

Colón badgeColónvsFenix badgeFenix

3 - 3
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.99

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.99

LowEdge +3.7%
Our model54.0%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Colón badge

Colón

Attack38
Defence63
Form49
Fenix badge

Fenix

Attack40
Defence59
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.3%
The market73.5%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Colón (DNB)

Edge +6.3%Void
Our model54.8%
The market48.5%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
2.06

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market50.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.99

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market67.6%
Edge
-13.8
Odds
1.48

Match Winner

Colón Win

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model38.5%
The market35.5%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.82

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.46

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.2%

1-1

14.8%

0-0

10.8%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.