Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Colón badgeColónvsPlaza Colonia badgePlaza Colonia

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.5%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +4.1%
Our model73.5%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Colón badge

Colón

Attack51
Defence80
Form48
Plaza Colonia badge

Plaza Colonia

Attack58
Defence100
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model73.5%
The market69.4%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model57.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Colón (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Colón Win

Edge +12.0%Miss
Our model47.7%
The market35.7%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
2.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model11.5%
The market10.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
9.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.5% · actual

1-0

11.5%

1-1

10.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.