Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Colorado Rapids badgeColorado RapidsvsSporting Kansas City badgeSporting Kansas City

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
36.1%
Edge
+22.3 pts
Best odds
2.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.60

MediumEdge +22.3%
Our model58.4%
The market36.1%

The market underrated this by 22.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Colorado Rapids badge

Colorado Rapids

Attack27
Defence81
Form41
Sporting Kansas City badge

Sporting Kansas City

Attack29
Defence29
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model63.1%
The market87.7%
Edge
-24.6
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.3%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market36.1%
Edge
+22.3
Odds
2.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +11.1%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market42.1%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model31.6%
The market23.1%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
4.33

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

1-1

15.1%

0-1

13.1%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.