US Open Cup badgeUS Open Cup · 20 May 2026AI PICK

Columbus Crew badgeColumbus CrewvsNew York City FC badgeNew York City FC

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
60.2%
Edge
+13.6 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

High confidenceEdge +13.6%
Our model73.8%
The market60.2%

The market underrated this by 13.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Columbus Crew badge

Columbus Crew

Attack56
Defence49
Form40
New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack69
Defence54
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model73.8%
The market60.2%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Miss
Our model68.5%
The market63.7%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Columbus Crew (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Columbus Crew Win

Our model40.2%
The market52.9%
Edge
-12.7
Odds
1.89

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-2

7.2%

2-1

6.9%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.