Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 22 July 2026AI PICK

Columbus Crew badgeColumbus CrewvsNew York City FC badgeNew York City FC

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.1%
Market said
60.9%
Edge
+0.2 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +0.2%
Our model61.1%
The market60.9%

The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Columbus Crew badge

Columbus Crew

Attack52
Defence65
Form53
New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack51
Defence54
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model61.1%
The market60.9%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Columbus Crew (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.2%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Columbus Crew Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
-9.6
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

10.0%

1-2

7.5% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.