Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Comerciantes badgeComerciantesvsDeportivo Binacional badgeDeportivo Binacional

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.2%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Comerciantes Win

Match Winner · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +4.3%
Our model64.2%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Comerciantes badge

Comerciantes

Attack65
Defence61
Form67
Deportivo Binacional badge

Deportivo Binacional

Attack39
Defence36
Form20

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Comerciantes Win

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model64.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model62.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Comerciantes (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model47.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.8%
The market14.6%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.8%

2-0

11.3%

1-1

10.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.