Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Concarneau badgeConcarneauvsThionville Lusitanos badgeThionville Lusitanos

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
48.6%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model58.6%
The market48.6%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Concarneau badge

Concarneau

Attack70
Defence56
Form56
Thionville Lusitanos badge

Thionville Lusitanos

Attack100
Defence65
Form81

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model87.6%
The market80.6%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market48.6%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.94

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market53.6%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.76

Draw No Bet

Concarneau (DNB)

Void
Our model50.9%
The market61.3%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.63

Match Winner

Concarneau Win

Miss
Our model44.6%
The market49.3%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
2.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.