National 1 badgeNational 1 · 15 May 2026AI PICK

Concarneau badgeConcarneauvsVillefranche badgeVillefranche

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
56.5%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.77

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.77

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model60.0%
The market56.5%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Concarneau badge

Concarneau

Attack34
Defence50
Form31
Villefranche badge

Villefranche

Attack51
Defence44
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market56.5%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.77

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.5%
The market53.8%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.86

Draw No Bet

Concarneau (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Concarneau Win

Our model40.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.7%
The market14.5%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.7%

1-0

13.0%

1-1

11.2%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.