Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Concarneau badgeConcarneauvsVillefranche badgeVillefranche

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
49.6%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
1.93

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.93

MediumEdge +8.8%
Our model58.4%
The market49.6%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Concarneau badge

Concarneau

Attack72
Defence46
Form52
Villefranche badge

Villefranche

Attack84
Defence22
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model81.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.8%Close
Our model58.4%
The market49.6%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.93

Draw No Bet

Concarneau (DNB)

Correct
Our model58.3%
The market64.9%
Edge
-6.6
Odds
1.54

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.5%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.77

Match Winner

Concarneau Win

Correct
Our model47.2%
The market56.8%
Edge
-9.6
Odds
1.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.