Copa Chile · 12 July 2026AI PICK
Concepciónvs
D. Puerto Montt
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.9%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -7.8
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Concepción (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Concepción Win
- Edge
- -12.8
- Odds
- 1.83
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.6%
1-1
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.