Concepciónvs
O'Higgins
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 56.3%
- Edge
- +4.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Concepción
O'Higgins
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.73
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Concepción (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -21.8
- Odds
- 1.36
Match Winner
Concepción Win
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 2.30
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.