Serie C badgeSerie C · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Confiança badgeConfiançavsAO Itabaiana badgeAO Itabaiana

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model69.4%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Confiança badge

Confiança

Attack30
Defence40
Form20
AO Itabaiana badge

AO Itabaiana

Attack48
Defence42
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model61.2%
The market61.7%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

AO Itabaiana (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

AO Itabaiana Win

Edge +14.2%Miss
Our model42.8%
The market28.6%
Edge
+14.2
Odds
3.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.5%
The market19.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.5%

0-0

18.2%

1-1

14.4% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.