Serie C badgeSerie C · 18 May 2026AI PICK

Confiança badgeConfiançavsMaranhão badgeMaranhão

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +1.2%
Our model62.9%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Confiança badge

Confiança

Attack29
Defence48
Form26
Maranhão badge

Maranhão

Attack35
Defence37
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.62

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model60.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Confiança (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Confiança Win

Correct
Our model42.2%
The market52.6%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.4%

1-0

16.6%

0-0

16.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.