Primera División · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Coquimbo UnidovsA. Italiano

3 - 0

Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 63.2%
Market said: 52.4%
Edge: +10.8 pts
Best odds: 1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +10.8%

Our model63.2%

The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Coquimbo Unido

Attack53

Defence52

Form56

A. Italiano

Attack63

Defence40

Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market78.1%

Edge: +6.9
Odds: 1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.8%Miss

Our model63.2%

The market52.4%

Edge: +10.8
Odds: 1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Correct

Our model61.7%

The market47.6%

Edge: +14.1
Odds: 2.10

Match Winner

Coquimbo Unido Win

Edge +0.6%Correct

Our model54.7%

The market54.1%

Edge: +0.6
Odds: 1.85

Draw No Bet

Coquimbo Unido (DNB)

Correct

Our model49.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -8.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%

Our model8.8%

The market7.7%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 13.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.8%

1-2

8.8%

0-1

8.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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