Serie A · 24 May 2026AI PICK

CorinthiansvsAtletico-MG

1 - 0

Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.1%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +12.7 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +12.7%

Our model57.1%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Corinthians

Attack43

Defence76

Form56

Atletico-MG

Attack54

Defence49

Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.7%Miss

Our model57.1%

The market44.4%

Edge: +12.7
Odds: 2.25

Match Winner

Corinthians Win

Our model50.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -7.1
Odds: 1.75

Draw No Bet

Corinthians (DNB)

Our model48.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -9.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%

Our model12.3%

The market10.7%

Edge: +1.6
Odds: 9.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.3%

1-0

10.8% · actual

1-1

10.6%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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